WASHINGTON - The Army is planning for the possibility of keeping the current number
of soldiers in Iraq — well over 100,000 — for four more years, the
Army's top general said Saturday.
In an Associated Press interview, Gen. Peter Schoomaker said the Army is prepared
for the "worst case" in terms of the required level of troops in Iraq.
He said the number could be adjusted lower if called for by slowing the force
rotation or by shortening tours for soldiers.
Schoomaker said commanders in Iraq and others who are in the chain of command
will decide how many troops will be needed next year and beyond. His responsibility
is to provide them, trained and equipped.
About 138,000 U.S. troops, including about 25,000 Marines, are now in Iraq.
"We are now into '07-'09 in our planning," Schoomaker said, having
completed work on the set of combat and support units that will be rotated into
Iraq over the coming year for 12-month tours of duty.
Schoomaker's comments come amid indications from Bush administration officials
and commanders in Iraq that the size of the U.S. force may be scaled back next
year if certain conditions are achieved.
Among those conditions: an Iraqi constitution must be drafted in coming days;
it must be approved in a national referendum; and elections must be held for
a new government under that charter.
Schoomaker, who spoke aboard an Army jet on the trip back to Washington from
Kansas City, Mo., made no predictions about the pace of political progress in
Iraq. But he said he was confident the Army could provide the current number
of forces to fight the insurgency for many more years. The 2007-09 rotation
he is planning would go beyond President Bush's term in office, which ends in
Schoomaker was in Kansas City for a dinner Friday hosted by the Military Order
of the World Wars, a veterans' organization.
"We're staying 18 months to two years ahead of ourselves" in planning
which active-duty and National Guard and Reserve units will be provided to meet
the commanders' needs, Schoomaker said in the interview.
The main active-duty combat units that are scheduled to go to Iraq in the coming
year are the 101st Airborne Division, based at Fort Campbell, Ky., and the 4th
Infantry Division from Fort Hood, Texas. Both did one-year tours earlier in
The Army has changed the way it arranges troop rotations.
Instead of sending a full complement of replacement forces each 12-month cycle,
it is stretching out the rotation over two years.
The current rotation, for 2005-07, will overlap with the 2006-08 replacements.
Beyond that, the Army is piecing together the plan for the 2007-09 switch, Schoomaker
With the recent deployments of National Guard brigades from Georgia and Pennsylvania,
the National Guard has seven combat brigades in Iraq — the most of the
entire war — plus thousands of support troops.
Along with the Army Reserve and Marine Reserve, they account for about 40 percent
of the total U.S. forces in Iraq. Schoomaker said that will be scaled back next
year to about 25 percent as newly expanded active-duty divisions such as the
101st Airborne enter the rotation.
August has been the deadliest month of the war for the National Guard and Reserve,
with at least 42 fatalities thus far. Schoomaker disputed the suggestion by
some that the Guard and Reserve units are not fully prepared for the hostile
environment of Iraq.
"I'm very confident that there is no difference in the preparation"
of active-duty soldiers and the reservists, who normally train one weekend a
month and two weeks each summer, unless they are mobilized. Once called to active
duty, they go through the same training as active-duty units.
In internal surveys, some in the reserve forces have indicated to Army leaders
that they think they are spending too much time in pre-deployment training,
not too little, Schoomaker said.
"Consistently, what we've been (hearing) is, `We're better than you think
we are, and we could do this faster,'" he said. "I can promise you
that we're not taking any risk in terms of what we're doing to prepare people."